The Warriors reward for going 37-4 in the first half of the season is a 1.5 game lead on the Spurs. Lucky them. At this point, I think we can say that both teams are really, really good.
Here are some very random and very Spurs-y items.
Point differential is seen as a really good indicator of playoff performance. The Warriors would have to be 28% better than they are to be tied with the Spurs.
Since the 24-0 start by the Warriors, they are 13-4. The Spurs have not had any 17 game stretch of the season where they were worse than 14-3.
The Warriors are 8-3 in their last 11. The Spurs have not had an 11 game stretch where they were worse than 9-2.
The Warriors are 21st in the league in defensive rebounding. The Spurs are 1st.
The Warriors, Thunder and Spurs have 22 losses, TOTAL, in the first half of the season. In the second half of the season, they will give each other 10 losses.
The Warriors home:road split on efficiency is very interesting.
- Defense — 94.2::103.0
- Offense — 111.5::112.2
- Net — 17.3:: 9.2
The Warriors are much worse defensively on the road and the same at home. The Spurs are the opposite. Same on the road on defense and worse offensively.
- Defense — 92.9::93.9
- Offense — 110.1::105.8
- Net — 17.2:: 11.9
Both teams are undefeated at home. They have an almost identical net rating at home.
In short, I think these two juggernauts are about as even as two dominant teams can be. Their only significant difference is that the Warriors are a bit better on offense and the Spurs are a bit better on defense.
If I had to pick a team to win a seven game series, that started right now, I’d go with the Spurs. The Warriors are showing signs of being very tired. They have had more injuries and they are not as deep as the Spurs. In addition, they are playing their guys some serious minutes in what I’m guessing is an attempt to chase the Bulls’ record.